Dominic Thiem vs. Martin Klizan
|Date & Time||Sunday September 23, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Martin Klizan and Dominic Thiem meet in the final of the 2018 tennis St. Petersburg Open.
Martin Klizan is coming off a three sets win over Stan Wawrinka that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Klizan won 80 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Klizan won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his four break points. Klizan showed great fight after dropping the first set and enters this match as one of the hotter players in the world, winning 17 of his last 20 matches overall. If Klizan will continue to dominate his first serve and can get double-digit aces again, he’s got a shot to win yet another title. Klizan hopes to win his second title of the year and his seventh title of his career. Klizan is 6-0 in career singles final appearances, with two of those titles coming on hard court. Klizan has won six of his last seven matches on indoor hard court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Roberto Bautista-Agut that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 73 percent of his first serve points and 68 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 71 percent of his total service points and saved his only break point. Thiem has now won 12 of his last 14 sets and has been broken just three times in this tournament. Thiem is coming off his best serving performance of the tournament yet in which he got 68 percent of his first serve in play and hit 15 aces. If Thiem comes anywhere close to that again, he’s going to win his third title since February. Thiem hopes to win his third title of the year and his 11th title of his career. Thiem has lost four of his last six final appearances and is 1-1 in career final appearances on hard court. Thiem has won five of his last eight matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played four times and Klizan has won three of those matches. The most recent match was in Austria of this year, a match Klizan won in straight sets. Thiem’s only win over Klizan came in the 2014 Australian Open. Three of the four matches have gone the distance.
Klizan may own the head to head and is playing some highly impressive tennis, but I can’t bet against Thiem. He’s improved his serve in each match this tournament and has been in control of every match since losing the heartbreaker to Nadal in the US Open. Klizan has been in some dogfights his last couple matches, and now he has to deal with the pressure and pace Thiem has been hitting the ball with. It’s likely asking too much.
Thiem wins his third title in 2018.