Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut 5/5/19 Munich Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut
Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 4:00 AM (MTTC Iphitos e.V.)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Matteo Berrettini and Roberto Bautista-Agut meet in the semifinals of the 2019 tennis Munich.
Matteo Berrettini is coming off a three sets win over Philipp Kohlschreiber that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Berrettini won 71 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Berrettini won 64 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his 10 break points. Berrettini bombed 14 aces in his victory and saved 13 of his 14 break points. Berrettini has been on quite a tear lately, which includes wins in 13 of his last 15 matches when you include a challenger tournament in Phoenix. Berrettini has his entire game working for him and is a tough out as long as he continues to get so many free points with his serve. Berrettini hopes to make his second final of the year and his third of his career. Berrettini has won each of his last eight matches on clay court.
Roberto Bautista-Agut is coming off a three sets win over Guido Pella that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Bautista-Agut won 67 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Bautista-Agut won 57 percent of his total service points and converted on seven of his 13 break points. Bautista-Agut once again didn’t have the easiest match in the world after dropping the first set, but managed to win the final eight gams of the match to close the deal. Bautista-Agut has now won four of his last five matches that have gone the distance, but he certainly could improve his second serve to prevent some of these matches going so long. Bautista-Agut hopes to make his second final appearance of the year and his 17th of his career. Bautista-Agut has won three of his last four matches on clay court.
These two have split the previous two meetings, as Bautista-Agut won in Doha last year and Berrettini won in Gstaad last year. Both matches were decided in straight sets.
Berrettini won the only meeting on clay and has been on a tear on clay court these past several weeks. Bautista-Agut also has made a habit of making matches much harder than they should be, as it feels like he needs to get punched in the mouth first before playing. Still, I’m going with Bautista-Agut in this match due to the trust factor and knowing he’s going to get up for a match like this. Berrettini is coming off a marathon match and isn’t exactly used to this much of a workload.
Bautista-Agut makes his second final of the year.