Marcos Baghdatis vs. Matthew Ebden
|Date & Time||Friday July 27, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Matthew Ebden and Marcos Baghdatis meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Atlanta Open.
Matthew Ebden is coming off a straight sets win over Donald Young that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Ebden won 84 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Ebden won 72 percent of his total service points and had nine aces in his impressive victory. Ebden came into this tournament losing four of his last six matches and struggling to find his form. However, Ebden dominated his first serve and did just enough with his return that makes you think he can make a deep run in this tournament. If Ebden can get a higher percentage of first serves in play, he’s going to be a tough out regardless of opponent. Ebden has won six straight matches on hard court.
Marcos Baghdatis is coming off a straight sets win over Frances Tiafoe that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Baghdatis won 78 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Baghdatis won 67 percent of his total service points and gave himself 13 break points in which he converted five of those tries. It was an overall very impressive showing from Baghdatis, considering the young American is the more talented player and had the home crowd behind him. Baghdatis has now given himself 18 break chances in his last two matches and produced nine breaks overall. Let’s not forget that Baghdatis came into this tournament losing eight of his last nine matches, so putting together back-to-back victories in a decent tournament is quite a success. Baghdatis has won five of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played once, which was in Sydney of 2012, a match Baghdatis won in three sets. The match took 34 games to be decided.
This isn’t the quarterfinal many were expecting to see, but we’re here now. Ebden has been the sharper player recently and will have a considerable advantage as long as he boosts his first serve percentage up. Get more first serves in play and Ebden wins this match. Baghdatis is coming off a highly impressive win, but two victories doesn’t wipe away several weeks of struggling.
I like Ebden to serve his way to the semifinals.