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Milos Raonic vs. Dominic Thiem 3/16/19 ATP Tour Indian Wells Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milos Raonic vs. Dominic Thiem
Date & Time Saturday March 16, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Indian Wells Tennis Garden
Indian Wells, California
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Milos Raonic and Dominic Thiem meet in the semifinals of the 2019 tennis Indian Wells.

Milos Raonic is coming off a straight sets win over Miomir Kecmanovic that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 88 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 73 percent of his total service points and saved all three of his break points. Raonic has won eight of his nine sets this tournament and hasn’t been broken once in his last two matches. Raonic is a legit title contender if he continues to serve the way he has his past few matches. Raonic hopes to make his first final appearance since last years Stuttgart Open and his 23rd final appearance of his career. Raonic also looks for his first Masters 1000 final appearance since the 2016 Indian Wells and the forth Masters 1000 final appearance of his career. Raonic has won seven straight matches on outdoor hard court.

Dominic Thiem is coming off a walkover win over Gael Monfils, as the Frenchman was forced to skip the match due to a left achilles injury. Thiem has turned his season around with this tournament, winning all six of his sets, and now he has a rest advantage on his side as well. Playing just under an hour in his match on Wednesday, Thiem has to be feeling extremely fresh for this massive semifinal match. Thiem hopes to make his first final appearance since last years St. Petersburg Open and the 19th final appearance of his career. Thiem also looks for his third career final appearance in a Masters 1000, the first in Indian Wells. Thiem has won five of his last seven matches on outdoor hard court.

These two have played three times and Raonic has won all three of those matches, which includes an exhibition tiebreak last year. The other two matches took place in London and Cincinnati, both in 2016 and were decided in straight sets.

Thiem has the rest advantage and has found his serve again, something that gave him trouble during his struggles before this tournament. However, Raonic is the better hard court player and it’s probably not close. Raonic moves better on this surface and uses the speed to his advantage. There’s a reason why only three of Thiem’s 18 carer final appearances have taken place on hard court, and a lot of it has to do with him not being able to beat the top tier players on this surface.

I like Raonic to reach his first career final in a Masters 1000.

Pick:
Milos Raonic

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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