Milos Raonic vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)|
Indian Wells Tennis Garden
Indian Wells, California
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Milos Raonic and Jan-Lennard Struff meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Indian Wells.
Milos Raonic is coming off a three sets win over David Giron that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 78 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 59 percent of his total service points and saved nine of his 12 break points. Raonic clearly wasn’t at his best, which included losing the first three games of the final set, but he buckled down when he had to and turned up the intensity on his return to close the deal. It’s nice to see Raonic find that second gear when he needs to, and the way he finished the match could have a carryover effect moving forward. Raonic hopes to make the quarterfinal of Indian Wells for his fifth straight appearance. Raonic has won nine of his last 11 matches on outdoor hard court.
Jan-Lennard Struff is coming off a straight sets win over Alexander Zverev that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Struff won 89 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Struff won 73 percent of his total service points and saved all four of his break points. Struff simply dominated the fellow German from start to finish, earning his first win over Zverev in six tries. Struff now has three career wins over top-10 players, and you could argue that was his biggest yet given where it puts him in a big tournament. Struff has a chance to make a quarterfinal of a Masters 1000 for the third time in his career. Struff has won four of his last five matches on outdoor hard court.
These two have split the two meetings, as Struff won in Dubai of this year in three sets, while Raonic won in the 2017 Wimbledon in straight sets.
There’s a lot going for Struff in this match considering he already beat Raonic this year and looked absolutely possessed in his last match against a top-10 player. If that Struff shows up here, he’s more than capable of winning this match. The problem is Raonic found his game in the third set of his last match, and when he plays to his full potential, there’s not much Struff can do with him.
Raonic is too powerful, too consistent and too experienced in big matches to slip up here.