Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs Milos Raonic
|Date & Time||Monday October 29, 2018, 10:30 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Milos Raonic will play Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the opening round of the 2018 ATP Paris Masters.
It has been a tough season for Jo-Wilfried Tsonga as injuries have caused the Frenchman to fall out of the top 100 in the world. Tsonga’s return to injury was only weeks ago at the ATP Moselle Open and he has not managed any significant results since coming back on the tour. The biggest issue for Jo-Wilfried Tsonga has been the return games as his injury seems to be preventing him from fully committing to every point. The positive for Jo-Wilfried Tsonga has been his serve which continues to be his biggest asset. Since returning from injury, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga has only lost 9 service games in the 12 sets he has players. While it will take more time for Jo-Wilfried Tsonga to be back to his best, the Frenchman will gain comfort from this tournament as he won this event in 2008 and finished second at the Paris Masters in 2011.
On the other side of the coin, Milos Raonic has also struggled as he has only won 2 games since the US Open. Similar to Tsonga, Raonic has not been able to win return games as he has only won 3 break points in his last 5 fixtures. This inability to win return games will be exposed once again as Jo-Wilfried Tsonga has one of the best serves in recent tennis history. It will be important that Raonic makes points last longer as it will be his best chance to limit Tsonga’s power and test the Frenchman’s fitness.
Milos Raonic and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga have played 5 times in the past with Tsonga winning twice and Raonic winning on 3 occasions. The most recent match was at the 2016 Paris Masters where Raonic won. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga’s last win over Milos Raonic was at the 2013 Indian Wells Masters.
Neither player has been in good form but they have both proven their class in the past. This match will be decided by Raonic’s ability to lengthen points as the Canadian will not be able to outpower Tsonga like he usually does to other opponents. If Tsonga was 100% fit, I would have no doubt picking him but with the injury not fully behind him, I am hesitant to pick the Frenchman. I am going to side with Raonic winning this match since Tsonga looks to be only partially recovered while the Canadian looks fully fit.