Del Potro vs. Raonic
|Date & Time||Saturday March 17, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
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Milos Raonic and Juan Martin Del Potro meet in the semifinals of the 2018 Indian Wells Masters.
Milos Raonic is coming off a three sets win over Sam Querrey that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 74 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Raonic is coming off a match in which he produced 17 aces, but he can be better with his second serve and will have to be if he hopes to make his second career Indian Wells final appearance. Raonic has played back-to-back three set matches, but he should still be rather fresh considering he didn’t have to play a fourth round due to a walkover. Raonic has lost six of his last eight semifinal appearances. Raonic hopes to make his first final appearance of the year and his 22nd of his career. Raonic has won six of his last 10 matches on hard court.
Juan Martin Del Potro is coming off a three sets win over Philipp Kohlschreiber that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Del Potro won 75 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Del Potro has now won back-to-back matches after dropping the first set and is coming off a performance in which he got 68 percent of his first serve in play. Del Potro certainly has room for improvement given the slow starts, but he’s clearly in great form overall and has won nine straight matches. Del Potro has won each of his last four semifinal appearances. Del Potro hopes to make his third final appearance of the year and the 32nd of his career. Del Potro has won nine straight matches on hard court.
These two have played three times and Raonic has won two of those meetings. The most recent match was last year in Delray Beach, a match Raonic won in straight sets. All three meetings have been decided in straight sets.
Raonic is probably the safer pick here, as he’s been more consistent with his serve and is the younger player who should have fresher legs if this match gets a little lengthy. However, I trust Del Potro more in this match, as he’s shown great fight and seems to really want to win these tournaments. Del Potro is off to an impressive start to the season and has shown he can take his level to another gear when needed. Raonic hasn’t been good in semifinal matches recently and was god awful with his second serve last match.
I have more faith in Del Potro here.