Milos Raonic vs. Stan Wawrinka - 01/16/19 ATP Tour - Australian Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milos Raonic vs. Stan Wawrinka
Wednesday, January 16, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Melbourne Park)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Milos Raonic and Stan Wawrinka meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Milos Raonic is coming off a straight sets win over Nick Kyrgios that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 90 percent of his first serve points and 77 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 82 percent of his total service points, hit 30 aces and didn’t face a single break point in the victory over the Aussie on his home soil. It was the best Raonic has looked in quite some time, and he had 53 winners to just eight unforced errors. If that performance was any indication of what’s to come for Raonic, he’s more than capable of making a run for his first grand slam title. Raonic hopes to make the third round of a grand slam for the 10th time in his last 12 tries. Raonic has split his last six matches on hard court.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a two sets win over Ernests Gulbis that took 13 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 71 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka actually lost the first set of his match, but he got help from Gulbis who was forced to retire due to a back injury. While he’s credited with the victory, Wawrinka got just 50 percent of his first serves in play, had 10 unforced errors in a little over an hour and was broken twice. Wawrinka is usually a player who gets better the deeper he goes in the tournament, but he must raise his game rather quickly to advance past the Canadian. Wawrinka hopes to make the third round of a grand slam for the fourth time since 2017. Wawrinka has split his last six matches on hard court.
These two have played seven times and Wawrinka has won four of those matches. The most recent match was in the 2018 US Open, a match Raonic won in straight sets. Raonic has actually won the last three meetings against Wawrinka, with his last loss not coming since 2015 in Rotterdam. Five of the seven matches have been decided in straight sets.
Wawrinka is more than capable of winning this match when he’s playing in top shape, but he’s only shown flashes since returning from injury and wasn’t good in his limited showing in the opening match. Raonic was incredible in his opener and is going to cruise a long way in this tournament if he’s able of repeating such an effort. Wawrinka stands little chance unless he plays like the guy he was before the knee injury. We haven't seen that player yet, and it's going to take consistent matches for him to return to that form.
Raonic wins this match likely in straight sets.