Federer vs. Zverev
|Date & Time||Monday January 23, 2017, 9:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Zverev +600 / Federer -900 -- Over/Under:
Mischa Zverev and Roger Federer meet in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Australian Open.
Mischa Zverev is coming off a four set win over Andy Murray that took 42 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 66 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Zverev now has six career wins over top-10 players, but his win over Murray is easily the biggest win of his life at 29 years old. Zverev hit 52 winners in the victory and managed to convert on eight of 17 break chances. Zverev has had zero grand slam success before this tournament, so it’ll be interesting to see how he handles the moment and if he can continue to play at this level. Zverev hopes to make the semifinals of a grand slam for the first time in his career. Zverev has won 10 of his last 13 matches on hard court.
Roger Federer is coming off a five set win over Kei Nishikori that took 49 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 80 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Federer continues to serve extremely well when he’s getting his first serve in play, and he’s coming off a match in which he had 83 winners. Federer has 32 aces in his last two matches and is going to be tough to beat if he continues to hit his spots the way he has this tournament. The concern for Federer is obvious fatigue, as a five set match can’t be good for a 35-year-old who is trying to win his first major since the 2012 season. Federer hopes to make a grand slam semifinal for the fifth straight appearance. Federer has won nine of his last 10 matches on hard court.
These two have played twice in the past and Federer has won both meetings. The most recent match was in Halle back in 2013, a match Federer won in 12 games. Zverev has won eight games in two matches against Federer.
No disrespect to Zverev, but Federer has to be doing backflips that he didn’t have to play Murray in this spot. Zverev has very little success against the top players in the world, had to play out of his mind to beat Murray and has no grand slam success heading into this tournament. Beating Murray and Federer in back-to-back matches given his career would be one of the biggest upsets over the last decade. It’s not going to happen.
Look for Federer to get two wins away from a Australian Open title.