Naomi Osaka vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich 5/8/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Naomi Osaka vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Wednesday, May 8, 2019 at 6:30 AM (Park Manzanares)
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Naomi Osaka and Aliaksandra Sasnovich meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Naomi Osaka is coming off a three sets win over Sara Sorribes Tormo that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 65 percent of her first serve points and 39 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 56 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 15 break points. It wasn’t the cleanest match from Osaka, and she struggled with her second serve again, but she got whatever she wanted on her return and won each of the last six games to close the match. While maybe still not 100 percent, Osaka showed she can find that second gear when needed to put a match away. Osaka looks to win three straight matches for the first time since winning the Australian Open. Osaka has won four of her last five matches on clay court.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is coming off a straight sets win over Anna Karolina Schmiedlova that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Sasnovich won 71 percent of her first serve points and 55 percent of her second serve points. Sasnovich won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 12 break points. Sasnovich has back-to-back hard fought victories and doesn’t look like the same player who entered this tournament losing four of her last six matches. Sasnovich has a chance to win three straight matches for the first time since Sydney. Sasnovich has five career wins over top-10 player, and two of those wins have come this year. Sasnovich has won five of her last six matches on clay court.
These two have played twice and Osaka won both meetings in straight sets. The matches took place in the 2018 US Open and 2016 Tokyo. This is obviously the first match on clay.
Sasnovich does have some decent success against top-10 player and can make this match interesting if she continues to get the return in play the way she has in her first two matches. Osaka also hasn’t shown she’s 100 percent fit yet and left the door open in her last match. With that said, Osaka had no trouble in two previous matches against Sasnovich and still has the match on her racket with her power and shotmaking ability.
Osaka should advance, but it may not be as convincing as one would think.