Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - 9/21/19 Japan Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - 9/21/19 Japan Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 8:00 PM (Regional Park Tennis Stadium)

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Naomi Osaka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Japan.

Naomi Osaka is coming off a straight sets win over Elise Mertens that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 83 percent of her first serve points and 47 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 70 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her seven break points. Osaka got 63 percent of her first serves in play, faced just one break point and hit six aces. Osaka has won all six sets this tournament and her first serve seems to be getting better with each performance. Osaka looks to win her second title of the year and the fourth title of her career. Osaka has won three of her last four final appearances overall and is 3-2 in final appearances on hard court. Osaka has won six of his last seven matches on hard court.

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Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is coming off a straight sets win over Angelique Kerber that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Pavlyuchenkova won 57 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Pavlyuchenkova won 54 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 12 break points. Pavlyuchenkova got 57 percent of her first serves in play and saved seven of her 10 break points. Pavlyuchenkova has won all eight sets this tournament and has given herself 24 break points in her last two matches. Pavlyuchenkova has four wins over top-10 players this year. Pavlyuchenkova looks to win her first title since last years Internationaux de Strasbourg and the 13th title of her career. Pavlyuchenkova has won seven of her last 10 final appearances overall and is 9-6 in final appearances on hard court. Pavlyuchenkova has won five of her last six matches on hard court.

These two have split the previous two meetings, as Osaka won the 2018 Hopman Cup and Pavlyuchenkova won 2017 Hong Kong.

Pavlyuchenkova has proven herself against the top names in the sport this year, and that continued in the semis against Kerber. Pavlyuchenkova is more than capable of winning this match, but her serve has ben shaky at times. Osaka seems to have found her game as of late and her serve is getting stronger by the set. This is also home turf for Osaka, which always helps players in key situations, as the crowd can be a big deciding factor.

I look for Osaka to win her second title of the year.

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Randy’s Pick Naomi Osaka

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.