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Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasija Sevastova - 01/20/19 WTA Tour - Australian Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasija Sevastova
Date & Time Sunday January 20, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
Melbourne Park
Melbourne
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN, Tennis
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Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Naomi Osaka and Anastasija Sevastova meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.

Naomi Osaka is coming off a three sets win over Su-Wei Hsieh that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 63 percent of her first serve points and 51 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on seven of her 11 break points. Osaka looked like she was going to lose her third round match before getting a last second break and steamrolling from there. It was a brilliant comeback from Osaka, but she must clean up her unforced errors if she’s going to make an even deeper run, as you don’t win many matches in grand slams when making 40-plus errors. Osaka has a chance to make her second career grand slam quarterfinal. Osaka has won five of her last six matches on hard court.   

Anastasija Sevastova is coming off a straight sets win over Qiang Wang that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Sevastova won 83 percent of her first serve points and 55 percent of her second serve points. Sevastova won 71 percent of her total services lints and converted on four of her 12 break points. Sevastova has won six of her seven sets this tournament and is coming off probably her best serving performance yet. When Sevastova is serving well she’s capable of beating anybody on the court, as the rest of her game comes into place and makes her craftiness that much tougher to deal with. Sevastova has a chance to make her fourth career grand slam quarterfinal and her first ever quarterfinal appearance at the Australian Open. Sevastova has won five of her last seven matches on hard court.

These two have split the previous four meetings, with Osaka winning the most recent match a couple of weeks ago in Brisbane, a match that finished in 25 games. Three of the four matches have been decided in straight sets.

Osaka has the advantage of beating Sevastova two weeks ago, and that was a match in which she won 43 percent of her return points. Osaka should also be feeling extremely confident after beating a similar player in Hsieh, who has some of the same craftiness and is capable of spraying winners like Sevastova. If Osaka was able to figure things out in that match and prevail, she should be able to do the same here. Sevastova is obviously a respectable opponent and tough to pick up at times, but Osaka’s last match should have her prepared for this one.

Osaka makes her second career grand slam quarterfinal.

Pick:
Naomi Osaka

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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