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Naomi Osaka vs. Belinda Bencic 5/9/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Naomi Osaka vs. Belinda Bencic
Date & Time Thursday May 9, 2019, 8:00 AM (EDT)
Location
Park Manzanares
Madrid, Spain
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Naomi Osaka and Belinda Bencic meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.

Naomi Osaka is coming off a straight sets win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 69 percent of her first serve points and 45 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her 10 break points. Osaka is still having issues with her second serve, but she’s now won five straight completed matches and is coming off a match in which she had nine aces, which was the most since her opening match in Miami. While Osaka is capable of playing even better, things seem to be improving for the top ranked player in the world. Osaka looks to win four straight matches for the first time since winning the Australian Open. Osaka has won eight of her last 11 matches on clay court.

Belinda Bencic is coming off a straight sets win over Kateryna Kozlova that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Bencic won 93 percent of her first serve points and 35 percent of her second serve points. Bencic won 70 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her eight break points. Bencic saved all three of her break points and won the first six games of the match. Bencic has won six of her seven sets this tournament and is going to be a tough out for anybody as long as she continues to serve at this level. Bencic looks to win four straight matches since making the semifinal of Indian Wells. Bencic has 19 career wins over top-10 players, and six of those wins have come this year. Bencic has won four of her last five matches on clay court.

These two have played three times and Bencic has won two of those matches, including the most recent match in Indian Wells of this year. Osaka’s only win over Bencic came in a 2013 ITF match. All three meetings were decided in straight sets.

Bencic has thrived in big matches this year and has had no problem beating some of the top names in the sport on a consistent basis. Osaka has been shaky as of late, even in her victories, and she’s going to have a hard time in this match if she’s not getting much on her second serve. Bencic has done a good job of absorbing pace and pounces any weak shots. Bencic is feisty and confident, and Osaka won’t win this match unless she brings her A game to the table.

I’m leaning toward Bencic in this match given that Osaka isn’t playing her absolute best and has been skating by for the most part.

Pick:
Belinda Bencic

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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