Sloane Stephens vs. Naomi Osaka
|Date & Time||Monday October 22, 2018, 7:30 AM (EDT)|
The Line: Stephens +192 / Osaka -222 -- Over/Under:
Naomi Osaka and Sloane Stephens meet in the round robin stages of the 2018 tennis WTA Finals.
Naomi Osaka is coming off a semifinal appearance in Beijing and has won 14 of her last 16 matches overall. Osaka has won 28 of her last 34 sets and three of her five career victories over a top-10 player have come this year. There’s nobody who has had a better year than Osaka, and she gets one more chance to prove she belongs with the best of the best in her first ever WTA Finals appearance. While this has been more of the wide open WTA Finals in quite some time, Osaka should be considered the favorite given her consistency all year and just how she’s gotten even better since winning the US Open a couple of months ago. Osaka has won four of her last five matches on indoor hard court.
Sloane Stephens enters this tournament losing five of her last seven matches, and she’s coming off a loss in Russia in which she won 52 percent of her service points and was broken four times. Stephens has lost her mojo ever since losing in the quarterfinals of the US Open, as her serve has been very shaky and she’s getting almost nothing on her return. The good news for Stephens is that she seems to play her best under the bright lights, as she made the final of the French Open and has four of her 13 career victories over top-10 players this year. Stephens can’t be counted out just because of these recent hiccups she’s experienced. Stephens has lost her last five matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2016 Mexican Open, a match Stephens won in straight sets. The match took 21 games to be decided.
We’ve made a killing just blindly backing Osaka this season, and there’s no reason to turn back now. Yes, Stephens at big plus money is worth consideration, but she’s in really poor form and now going up against somebody who will chew her up and spit her out if those struggles are still lingering.
Osaka has provided you no reason to bet against her.