Ramos-Vinolas vs. Djokovic
|Date & Time||Friday January 19, 2018, 10:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Novak Djokovic and Albert Ramos-Vinolas meet in the third round of the 2018 Australian Open.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a four sets win over Gael Monfils that took 35 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 73 percent of his first serve points and 36 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic got off to a shaky start by dropping the first set, but he was able to wear down Monfils over time in the brutal Australian heat. It’s still very early in his return, but Djokovic is showing signs of returning to form and is quickly silencing those critics who say he isn’t as effective in brutal conditions. Djokovic has looked better than anybody could have expected considering he came into this tournament not playing since the Wimbledon. Djokovic has lost before the fourth round of a grand slam just twice since 2010. Djokovic has won seven of his last nine matches on hard court.
Albert Ramos-Vinolas is coming off a straight sets win over Tim Smyczek that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Ramos-Vinolas won 92 percent of his first serve points and 62 percent of his second serve points. Ramos-Vinolas dropped just four first serve points and managed to hit 26 winners in a match that lasted a little over two hours. Ramos-Vinolas will have to duplicate such a performance for his to have any chance of pulling off the upset here. Ramos-Vinolas has five career wins over top-10 players, two of which came last year. Ramos-Vinolas hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the third time in his career. Ramos-Vinolas has split his last six matches on hard court.
These two have played four time and Djokovic has won all four meetings. The most recent match was in the 2017 French Open, a match that was decided in straight sets. Ramos-Vinolas has never won a set against Djokovic.
The head to head numbers are telling, and Ramos-Vinolas has never really had major success on hard court, as he’s more of a clay surface guy. Djokovic could still take his game to another level and iron some things out, but he’s looked solid for a guy who entered the tournament with so many question marks. I have no concerns with him getting to the fourth round of the tournament.
Djokovic wins this match in straight sets, like he has every time he’s faced Ramos-Vinolas.