Novak Djokovic vs. David Goffin 7/10/19 Wimbledon Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Novak Djokovic vs. David Goffin
Wednesday, July 10, 2019 at 7:00 AM (All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV: ESPN, ESPN2
Novak Djokovic and David Goffin meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Wimbledon.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Ugo Humbert that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 78 percent of his first serve points and 80 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 79 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his nine break points. Djokovic got 70 percent of his first serves in play, didn’t face a single break point and hit 25 winners. Djokovic has won 12 of his 13 sets this tournament and hasn’t been broken in each of his last eight sets. Ten of Djokovic’s last 11 completed grand slam victories have been completed in straight sets. Djokovic looks to make his fifth straight grand slam semifinal appearance. Djokovic has won 11 of his last 14 grand slam quarterfinal matches. Djokovic has won five of his last six matches on grass court.
David Goffin is coming off a four sets win over Fernando Verdasco that took 40 games to decide. In the victory, Goffin won 79 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Goffin won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 13 break points. Goffin got 64 percent of his first serves in play, saved two of his five break points and hit 33 winners. Goffin has needed 15 sets to get to this point, but he’s quietly one of the hotter players on tour with now wins in 12 of his last 15 matches. Goffin clearly has played his way out of the funk that he started the season with. Goffin hopes to make his first career grand slam semifinal appearance, as he’s 0-2 in previous grand slam quarterfinal matches. Goffin has 15 career wins over top-10 players, with one of those wins coming this year. Goffin has won 10 of his last 12 matches on grass court.
These two have played seven times and Djokovic has won five of those meetings. However, Goffin won the most recent match in 2017 Monte Carlo and won the only match on grass in a 2016 exhibition. Five of the seven matches were decided in straight sets.
Goffin has played well enough over the last month or so where I could see him winning a set and making the the hardest match Djokovic has played up to this point. That’s about it. There’s levels when it comes to grand slam play, as the top tier players usually separate themselves from the rest of the pack and the players who are a few notches below struggle to sustain that level throughout the match. Any drop in Goffin’s game and it’s curtains.
I’ll back Djokovic in straight sets, but it will be a competitive match.