Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Novak Djokovic
|Date & Time||Thursday January 3, 2019, 7:00 AM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Novak Djokovic and Nikoloz Basilashvili meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Qatar Open.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a three sets win over Marton Fucsovics that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 74 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his six break points. Djokovic could be more effective with his second serve and play cleaner tennis overall, but he’s still won 17 of his last 19 matches overall when you include exhibition play. In total, Djokovic has lost just four matches since winning the Wimbledon, which is why he’s head and shoulders the favorite to leave this tournament with the trophy. Djokovic hasn’t lost an outdoor hard court match since Toronto.
Nikoloz Basilashvili is coming off a straight sets win over Andrey Rublev that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Basilashvili won 86 percent of his first serve points and 33 percent of his second serve points. Basilashvili won 65 percent of his total service points and converted on all four of his break points. Basilashvili needs to clean up the unforced errors, which included eight double faults in his last match, but he still has a shot to win three matches in a single tournament for the second time in his last five tries. Basilashvili has three career wins over top-10 players, with the most recent coming against Juan Martin del Potro in China. Basilashvili has won eight of his last nine matches on hard court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2018 Rome Masters, a match Djokovic won in straight sets. The match took 18 games to be decided.
Basilashvili has shown flashes at times, but he’s still one of those higher ranked players who has struggled on the big stage and doesn’t have a ton of success against the top tier players. Before his last match, Djokovic was a -300 favorite to win Doha, and I don’t think he’s done anything to hurt those odds.
This should be a rather routine match, as Djokovic wins in straight sets.