Novak Djokovic vs. Philipp Kohlschreiber
|Date & Time||Tuesday April 16, 2019, 8:00 AM (EDT)|
Monte Carlo Country Club
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Novak Djokovic and Philipp Kohlschreiber meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Monte Carlo.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a third round exit in Miami, so he should be well rested, and he’s won 10 of his last 12 matches overall. Djokovic has found ways to win matches, but he’s been shaky at times overall with his performance and is coming off a match in which he won just 57 percent of his total service points and had four double faults. Djokovic should still be favored to win events like this, but we’re seeing Djokovic look a little more human than in the past, so that’s enough to give his opponents the confidence to beat him. Djokovic has won eight of his last 10 matches on clay court.
Philipp Kohlschreiber is coming off a straight sets win over Taro Daniel that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Kohlschreiber won 85 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Kohlschreiber won 79 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his eight break points. Kohlschreiber saved his only break point and lost just four first serve points, a formula that gives him a fighting chance in this match as well. Kohlschreiber has 25 career wins over top-10 players, three of which have come since last year. Kohlschreiber has won three of his last five matches on clay court.
These two have played 10 times and Djokovic won eight of those matches, but Kohlschreiber won the most recent meeting in this years Indian Wells. Djokovic is 2-1 against Kohlschreiber on clay court. Seven of the 10 matches have been decided in straight sets, including the last five overall.
Kohlschreiber is coming off an impressive showing and has some success against Djokovic that gives him a punchers chance. Djokovic didn’t play the last time we saw him and can be a bit spotty with his serve. There’s potential for an upset here.
Still, I’ll side with Djokovic. He’s had a lot of time off to get his game together and usually likes to pile up the wins on clay to get comfortable heading into the French Open. Djokovic should be able to grind out a win.