Novak Djokovic vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut
|Date & Time||Friday January 4, 2019, 11:00 AM (EST)|
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Novak Djokovic and Roberto Bautista-Agut meet in the semifinals of the 2019 tennis Qatar Open.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a three sets win over Nikoloz Basilashvili that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 72 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 65 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his seven break points. Djokovic didn’t play the cleanest match in the world and was broken three times, but maybe playing six sets in his last two matches will good for him in the long term. It’s important for Djokovic to get reps under his belt, especially with the Australian Open right around the corner and him being the current favorite to win that tournament. Djokovic hasn’t lost an outdoor hard court match since Toronto.
Roberto Bautista-Agut is coming off a straight sets win over Stan Wawrinka that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Bautista-Agut won 74 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Bautista-Agut won 67 percent of his total service points and saved all three of his break points. Bautista-Agut has won all six sets this tournament and has been broken just once. As long as Bautista-Agut can continue to serve at this level and take care of his business, he has a shot to win this match. Bautista-Agut has seven career wins over top-10 players, but only one of those victories have come since 2017. Bautista-Agut has won five of his last six matches on hard court.
These two have played eight times and Djokovic has won seven of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2018 French Open, a meeting Djokovic won in four sets. Bautista-Agut’s only win over Djokovic came in 2016 in Shanghai.
Bautista-Agut is a worthy opponent who is playing well, but the history between these two players doesn’t lie. Djokovic has owned Bautista-Agut over the years, and when the h2h is this one-sided, it usually only goes one way. Djokovic was the clear favorite to win this tournament, and I don’t see any reason to bet against it.
I’ll take Djokovic to reach the final of the Qatar Open.