Novak Djokovic vs. Stan Wawrinka - 9/1/19 US Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Novak Djokovic vs. Stan Wawrinka
Sunday, September 1, 2019 at 5:30 PM (USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center)
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Novak Djokovic and Stan Wawrinka meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis US Open.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Denis Kudla that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 80 percent of his first serve points and 62 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 73 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his nine break points. Djokovic got 62 percent of his first serves in play, saved all seven break points and hit six aces. Djokovic showed very few signs of a shoulder injury he suffered in the second round, and he’s now won 17 of his last 19 sets. Djokovic hopes to make his seventh straight grand slam quarterfinal appearance, and he hasn’t lost before the quarters in the US Open since 2006. Djokovic is 44-1 in his last 45 grand slam fourth round matches. Djokovic has won six of his last seven matches on hard court.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Paolo Lorenzi that took 36 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 81 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his nine break points. Wawrinka got 53 percent of his first serves in play, saved 11 of 13 break points and hit 24 aces. Wawrinka has had to work through some physical sets this tournament, but he has a combined 58 aces, and when he’s hitting his spots and getting free points with his serve, he can beat anybody in the field. Wawrinka hopes to make his fourth grand slam quarterfinal since 2017 and his sixth career quarterfinal at the US Open. Wawrinka is 14-1 in his last 15 grand slam fourth round matches. Wawrinka has won five of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played 23 times and Djokovic has won 19 of those meetings. However, Wawrinka won the most recent match, which took place in the 2016 US Open. Also, three of Wawrinka’s four wins overall over Djokovic have come in a major. Djokovic is 14-3 against Wawrinka on hard court. A total of 13 matches were decided in straight sets.
Wawrinka is the type of player who gets better as the tournament plays out, and he’s a scary match when he’s piling up those aces. Throw in the possibility of Djokovic being injured and there’s a case to be made for Stan the Man. The problem is Wawrinka is also mixing in a lot of unforced errors, and he’s more than capable of hitting himself out of a match as well against a guy as patient as Djokovic. This match could go four very long sets with a lot of shotmaking that wakes the crowd up, but Djokovic is too consistent and solid to bet against. Wawrinka and his ability to go for broke too many times will be his downfall.