Novak Djokovic vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
|Date & Time||Sunday May 12, 2019, 12:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Dominic Thiem that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 75 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 63 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his three break points. Djokovic muscled his way through two tough tiebreaks, a match that took almost two and a half hours and a combined 171 service points. Djokovic has won all six sets this tournament to get to this point and has saved 12 of his 15 break points. Nine of Djokovic’s last 11 victories have been decided in straight sets. Djokovic hopes to win his second title of the year and 74th of his career. Djokovic has won five of his last seven final appearances overall and is 13-10 in final appearances on clay. Djokovic hopes to win the Madrid Open for the third time in his career and third Masters 1000 title since 2017. Djokovic has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is coming off a three sets win over Rafael Nadal that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Tsitsipas won 57 percent of his first serve points and 42 percent of his second serve points. Tsitsipas won 52 percent of his total service points and converted on six of his 14 break points. Tsitsipas made impressive shot after impressive shot, and he stayed focused when there were plenty of chances to tense up and give the match away to the crowd favorite. Tsitsipas is playing incredible tennis right now, but it’s fair to question how much he has left after six sets and nearly five hours in his last two matches. Tsitsipas hopes to win his third title of the year and the fourth title of his career. Tsitsipas has won three of his last four final appearances overall and is 1-1 in final appearances on clay. Tsitsipas has never won a Masters 1000 title and this is his second ever final appearance. Tsitsipas now has 10 career wins over top-10 players, three of those wins coming this year. Tsitsipas has won each of his last eight matches on clay court.
These two played once, which was last year in Toronto, a match Tsitsipas won in three sets. The match took 31 games to be decided.
Tsitsipas was worth a look as a live dog yesterday against Nadal and is playing well enough to be worth consideration here as well. Tsitsipas is covering tons of ground and making ridiculous shots that everybody has to appreciate no matter your rooting interest. The reason I side with Djokovic is the rest advantage, as he’s had to play little tennis to get this point, while Tsitsipas has played back-to-back three set matches, including a marathon emotional match against Nadal. This is a quick turnaround for the young Tsitsipas.
Djokovic wins the Madrid Open for the third time.