Novak Djokovic vs. Ugo Humbert 7/8/19 Wimbledon Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Novak Djokovic vs. Ugo Humbert
Monday, July 8, 2019 at 10:00 AM (All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club)
The Line: Djokovic -25000 / Humbert +3329 -- Over/Under: 27.5
TV: ESPN, ESPN2
Novak Djokovic and Ugo Humbert meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Wimbledon.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a four sets win over Hubert Hurkacz that took 42 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 82 percent of his first serve points and 51 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his 17 break points. Djokovic got 66 percent of his first serves in play, saved all three of his break points and hit 45 winners. Djokovic had to work hard in a match that took a little over three hours, and he’ll certainly look to clean up the 39 unforced errors. Still, Djokovic looks sharp overall and remains the favorite to win the title. Djokovic hopes to make his sixth straight grand slam quarterfinal overall and his 11th career quarterfinal at Wimbledon. Djokovic is 43-1 in his last 44 grand slam fourth round matches, with that only loss coming in last yeas Australian Open to Chung Hyeon. Djokovic has won four of his last five matches on grass court.
Ugo Humbert is coming off a straight sets win over Felix Auger-Aliassime that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Humbert won 79 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Humbert won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 10 break points. Humbert got 63 percent of his first serves in play, saved three of his four break points and hit 22 winners. Humbert was a big underdog in that match and got the job done in a little over two hours, which is sure to give him a new level of confidence given that it came against another young player who is fighting for his place in this sport. Humbert has now won each of his last eight completed sets and his last four wins have come in straight sets. Humbert looks to make his first career grand slam quarterfinal appearance. Humbert has won six of his last eight matches on grass court.
There’s no match history between these two players.
Humbert has now beaten some decent competition to get to this point and is clearly a young player to keep an eye on moving forward. Humbert should have your attention after he dominated Auger-Aliassime, who entered that match as a -400 favorite in some places. With that said, Djokovic is a completely different task, and he usually turns up the pressure once he loses a set. We’re going to see a more aggressive Djokovic who is looking to finish points and end the match rather quickly. It’s going to be tough for Humbert to get comfortable and make this match interesting.
I’ll side with Djokovic in straight sets.