Varvara Lepchenko vs. Pauline Parmentier
|Date & Time||Thursday September 13, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Pauline Parmentier and Varvara Lepchenko meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Coupe Banque Nationale.
Pauline Parmentier is coming off a three sets win over Christina McHale that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Parmentier won 72 percent of her first serve points and 47 percent of her second serve points. Parmentier won 62 percent of her total service points and produced five breaks on 10 break points. Parmentier is getting a high percentage of her first serve in play, but she must improve that second serve if she hopes to make an even deeper tournament run. Regardless, Parmentier has snapped a four-match losing streak with back-to-back victories and has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since the Istanbul Cup back in April. As long as Parmentier continues to be effective with the first serve percentage, she has a shot to win this event. Parmentier has won three of her last four matches on indoor hard court.
Varvara Lepchenko is coming off a three sets win over Marie Bouzkova that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Lepchenko won 69 percent of her first serve points and 29 percent of her second serve points. Lepchenko won 55 percent of her total service points and produced seven breaks on 15 break points. Lepchenko is enjoying her best stretch of tennis this year, as she’s now won four of her last five matches and has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Morocco back in early 2017. However, Lepchenko must drastically improve her second serve if this winning stretch is going to continue, as winning just seven of 24 second serve points isn’t going to get it done as the competition increases. Lepchenko has won three of her last five matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played once, which was in Strasbourg of 2009, a match Parmentier won in straight sets. The match took 26 games to be decided.
Parmentier has been more impressive in her two matches and those wins came against better competition. Lepchenko has struggled mightily with her second serve and it’s only a matter of time before that catches up to her. Breaks usually come often in these smaller tournaments with players trying to find their form, but Lepchenko makes it much easier when she gets nothing on her second serve.
I’m going to side with Parmentier to advance to the semifinals.