Barty vs. Kvitova
|Date & Time||Sunday June 25, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Kvitova -245 / Barty +205 -- Over/Under:
Petra Kvitova and Ashleigh Barty meet in the final of the 2017 Aegon Classic.
Petra Kvitova is coming off a straight sets win over Lucie Safarova that took eight games to decide. In the victory, Kvitova won 80 percent of her first serve points and 80 percent of her second serve points. Kvitova has yet to drop a set this tournament and didn't have to work as hard in the semifinals due to Safarova retiring in the second set. Kvitova continues to be the talk of the tournament given that shes played just six matches in 2017 and all five of her victories have come in straight sets. With a serve that's just been flawless out of the gate, Kvitova is showing that she has the potential to return to the top-10 rather quickly. Kvitova hopes to win hr first title since the 2016 WTA Elite Trophy and her 20th title for her career. Kvitova is 2-1 in final appearances on grass and has won nine of her last 12 final appearances overall. Kvitova has won five of her last seven matches on grass court.
Ashleigh Barty is coming off a three sets win over Garbine Muguruza that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Barty won 69 percent of her first serve points and 57 percent of her second serve points. Barty showed great poise after winning a match despite dropping the first set and was quite feisty on the return, producing four breaks. Barty has come out of nowhere as of late and has displayed great shotmaking ability along with an aggressive return that's produced 13 breaks in her last four matches. A win here and Barty is a 21-year-old to keep an eye on moving forward given her current play. Barty has a chance to win her second career title and second of the season. Barty has never played in a final on grass court. Barty has won six of her last seven matches on grass court.
These two have played once in the past, which was in the 2012 French Open, a match Kvitova won in straight sets. The match took 15 games to decide.
Barty burned me in the semifinals and has a chance to do it again. Not only is Barty playing at a high level, but you have to question if fatigue or rust will catch up to Kvitova, who has so little matches under her belt. Still, assuming they both stay in form, Kvitova is serving too well to bet against right now and probably has a little more motivation given what she's been through personally. Winning a tournament in her second try after her career was in jeopardy would be incredible for Kvitova.
So, I’m siding with Kvitova for the story and because of the way she's hitting the ball, especially on her serve.