Petra Kvitova vs. Caroline Garcia
|Date & Time||Wednesday May 8, 2019, 2:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Petra Kvitova and Caroline Garcia meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Petra Kvitova is coming off a straight sets win over Kristina Mladenovic that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Kvitova won 58 percent of her first serve points and 54 percent of her second serve points. Kvitova won 56 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her seven break points. Kvitova can obviously be better with her serve and needs to clean up the seven double faults. However, the results don’t lie, and Kvitova has won 13 of her last 16 matches overall, easily the best stretch of her career and some of the best tennis she’s ever played. The only question surrounding Kvitova is fatigue, as it’s not easy to play at this level with so many matches under her belt. Kvitova hopes to win at least three matches for the sixth time in her last eight tournaments. Kvitova has won 19 of her last 20 matches on clay court.
Caroline Garcia is coming off a three sets win over Sorana-Mihaela Cirstea that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 63 percent of her first serve points and 68 percent of her second serve points. Garcia won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her five break points. Garcia dominated the two sets she won and got 68 percent of her first serves in play, something that gives her a fighting chance in this match if it can be repeated. Garcia hopes to win three straight matches for the first time since winning the Tianjin Open last October. Garcia has 16 career wins over top-10 players, and three of those wins came last year. Garcia has won three of her last four matches on clay court.
These two have played seven times and Kvitova has won four of those matches, including the most recent match, this year in Miami. Six of the seven matches have been decided in straight sets and this will be the first meeting on clay.
Kvitova has to be better with her serve if she’s going to win this match, but until this hot streak cools off, I’m not looking to step in front of her. Garcia is a handful when she’s playing her best, and her net skills make her effective on clay. Garcia is also a mixed bag and you’re never quite sure which player you’re going to get.
I trust Kvitova and this winning stretch. I’ll back her to make the quarterfinals.