Petra Martic vs. Sloane Stephens 5/9/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Petra Martic vs. Sloane Stephens
Thursday, May 9, 2019 at 9:00 AM (Park Manzanares)
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Petra Martic and Sloane Stephens meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Petra Martic is coming off a three sets win over Donna Vekic that took 22 games to decide due to a third set retirement. In the victory, Martic won 67 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Martic won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her six break points. Martic got off to a slow start, but she buckled down after dropping the first set, as her return improved and she got 68 percent of her first serves in play. Martic continues what has been a ridiculous stretch on clay and is easily her best stretch of tennis since making the Indian Wells quarterfinal last year. Martic has a chance to win four matches for the third straight tournament. Martic has three career wins over top-10 players, but only one of those wins came in the last three years. Martic has won each of her last eight matches on clay court.
Sloane Stephens is coming off a three sets win over Saisai Zheng that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Stephens won 62 percent of her first serve points and 58 percent of her second serve points. Stephens won 61 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 11 break points. Stephens got off to a slow start but took complete control of the match after dropping the first set, and she’s now won three of her last four matches that have gone the distance. Stephens can still be more consistent with her serve, as giving away 16 break points is never good, but we’re starting to see the American get her feet under her, which is scary for the rest of the field. Stephens has a chance to win four straight matches for the first time since the US Open. Stephens has won five of her last six matches on clay court.
These two have played twice and Stephens won both matches, including the most recent match in this years Australian Open, a straight sets victory. The other match was in 2013 Cincinnati, which was decided in three sets. This is obviously the first meeting on clay.
Martic has been killing it on clay these past couple of months and is the fresher player given the walkover in the second round and the retirement in her last match. Martic has had to play very little tennis to get to this point. With that said, Stephens is starting to gain confidence and is hitting her spots with more consistency. And while Martic is winning a lot on clay, she hasn’t had a ton of career success against the top players in the world.
I’m giving the edge to Stephens, in what should be a tight match.