Anastasija Sevastova vs. Polona Hercog
|Date & Time||Saturday July 21, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Polona Hercog and Anastasija Sevastova meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Barcelona Open.
Polona Hercog is coming off a straight sets win over Ons Jabeur that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Hercog won 83 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Hercog won 65 percent of her total service points and saved three of her four break chances. It was a rather routine performance for Hercog, and she’s now won each of her last six sets played. Hercog has been broken a combined three times in her last two matches and has given herself 30 break chances in her last three matches combined. It hasn’t been pretty all of the time, but Hercog has shown a balanced attack in this tournament up to this point. Hercog has a chance at her second final appearance of the year and the sixth of her career. Hercog has won five of her last seven matches on clay court.
Anastasija Sevastova is coming off a three sets win over Sorana Cirstea that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Sevastova won 67 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Sevastova won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 12 break chances. Sevastova has been returning at a very high level this tournament and has produced a combined 17 breaks in her last three matches. Sevastova can still be sharper with her serve to make matches far more easier, but she gives herself a punchers chance in any match when she’s consistently giving herself double-digit break points. Sevastova has a chance at her second final appearance of the year and the sixth of her career. Sevastova has won five of her last seven matches on clay court.
These two have met three times and Sevastova has won two of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2011 Indian Wells Masters, a match Sevastova won in straight sets. All three matches between these players have been decided in straight sets.
Both of these players have been on a roll this tournament and have been aggressive with the returns, so it comes down to who can hold serve in key situations. Sevastova is the sharper player overall and you trust her to consistently give herself break chances. Hercog isn’t quite used to the big stage and hasn’t had many deep tournament runs. Hercog is also struggling with her serve far more than Sevastova.
Sevastova reaches her third final appearance in the last 13 months.