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Rafael Nadal vs David Goffin - 5/31/19 French Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

David Goffin vs. Rafael Nadal
Date & Time Friday May 31, 2019, 9:00 AM (EDT)
Roland Garros
Paris, France
The Line
D. Goffin +650 / R. Nadal -1205
TV Channel
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Rafael Nadal and David Goffin will play each other in the third round of the 2019 ATP French Open.

Rafael Nadal has looked in supreme form since arriving at Roland Garros. In his previous match, Rafa played against Yannick Maden whom he defeated with ease in straight sets. During the win, Nadal received serve exceptionally well. Rafa won 54% of his receiving points which allowed him to break Yannick Maden’s serve on 7 occasions. Nadal did drop 2 service games but considering the dominance he showed, it should not be a fact of concern. Both of Nadal’s wins at this tournament have been comfortable as the Spanish master has only played 49 games in the 2 matches. This should ensure that Rafa is fresh and well rested as he enters this match.

On the other side of the coin, David Goffin has also looked very dominant throughout this tournament. Goffin has been winning his matches at a similar efficient rate to Rafa as the Belgian also only played 49 games in his 2 wins. In the previous round. David Goffin defeated Miomir Kecmanović in straight sets. During the victory, Goffin won 49% of his receiving points and 69% of his service points. This allowed Goffin to win 7 return games while only dropping 2 service games. The French Open has always been David Goffin’s stronger major as he has a win rate of over 70% at Roland Garros. This will be a tough challenge for Goffin but considering the venue and his recent form, the Belgian will be confident that he can post a formidable challenge.

David Goffin and Rafael Nadal have played each other on 4 prior occasions. Nadal has won on 3 occasions while Goffin has won once. The most recent match between these two players was in 2018 at ATP Barcelona where Nadal won straight sets. Furthermore, Nadal seems to have an edge over Goffin on clay as the Spaniard is 3-0 on this surface. Nadal has not dropped a set against Goffin on clay.

David Goffin has had a solid tournament but I see the Belgian losing this match. Rafa is still the best clay player in the world and his record at Roland Garros is staggering. Nadal has looked very impressive in the opening 2 rounds and I see him continuing his form by winning this match.

Rafael Nadal

Based in multiple cities around the world, Avijoy is a sports writer and handicapper with over 10 years experience. Avijoy has been at Sports Chat Place since 2015 and has been covering tennis, cricket and soccer. With a degree in statistics, Avijoy provides detailed mathematical edges which allow him to be successful in predicting winners on a consistent basis.   

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