Thiem vs. Nadal
|Date & Time||Friday June 9, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Thiem +405 / Nadal -455 -- Over/Under:
Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem meet in the semifinals of the 2017 French Open.
Rafael Nadal is coming off a straight sets win over Pablo Carreno Busta that took 10 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 47 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Nadal hasn't played much tennis this tournament to begin with and was given another break when Pablo Carreno retired early due to an abdominal issue. Nadal has now lost a combined eight games in his last three matches and just 22 games overall. Nadal is arguably playing the best tennis he's ever played in the French Open, which is saying a lot for somebody who has won this tournament nine times. I've said it before, Nadal is playing like peak Nadal at this very moment. Nadal looks for his 10th French Open final appearance and fourth grand slam final appearance since 2014. Nadal hasn't lost in a grand slam semifinal since the 2009 US Open. Nadal has has won 15 of his last 16 matches on clay court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Novak Djokovic that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 74 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Thiem has yet to lose a set this tournament and is coming off an impressive showing in which he won 49 percent of his return points and dropped just 28 service games. Thiem has dropped just 14 games in his last two matches and has combined for 62 winners, a formula that will lead him to the final if he can sustain it. Thiem hopes to make his first career grand slam final appearance. Thiem is 0-1 in grand slam semifinal trips in his career. Thiem has won eight of his last nine matches on clay court.
These two have played six times and Nadal has won four of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Rome Masters, a match Thiem won in straight sets. This will be the seventh meeting on clay court.
Thiem is playing great tennis and proved me wrong against Djokovic, as I didn't give him much of a chance. Thiem is a live underdog in this matchup given his play and the fact he just beat Nadal a couple weeks ago. This will be the fourth time this year these two have met on clay, so there's not going to be any surprises, and Thiem has some success. However, Nadal is playing on another planet right now, as the guy is barely losing games let alone sets. He's just too flawless right now, and I’m not sure anybody can beat him in his current form. It's just that simple.
Nadal reaches his 10th career French Open final.