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Rafael Nadal vs. Dominic Thiem 2018 Monte Carlo Masters Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Thiem vs. Nadal
Date & Time Friday April 20, 2018, 10:00 PM (EDT)
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Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Monte Carlo Masters.

Rafael Nadal is coming off a straight sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 79 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Nadal had another effortless match in which he broke four times and won 50 percent of his return points. Nadal has now dropped just nine games in his first two matches and looks completely comfortable out there in a tournament he’s owned over the years. Nadal has been broken a combined six times in his last five victories. Nadal has split his last six quarterfinal appearances. Nadal hopes to make the semifinal of the Monte Carlo Masters for the fourth straight year. Nadal Nadal has won nine straight matches on clay court.

Dominic Thiem is coming off a three sets win over Novak Djokovic that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 75 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Thiem was able to rebound after dropping a first set tiebreak and lost just five games in the final two sets. Thiem has shown great fight this tournament, as he’s dug himself out of a hole twice and has served at a high level in his first two matches. Thiem is a confident player at the moment and has 10 career victories over top-10 players. Thiem has split his last six quarterfinal appearances. Thiem has a chance to make his third career semifinal in a ATP World Tour Masters 1000. Thiem has never made the semifinals of the Monte Carlo Masters. Thiem has won eight of his last nine matches on clay court.

These two have played seven times and Nadal has won five of those matches. The most recent meeting was in the 2017 French Open, a match Nadal won in straight sets. All seven meetings have been on clay, and Nadal’s last loss was in the 2017 Rome Masters. Each of the last five meetings have been decided in straight sets.

We were robbed from another Nadal - Djokovic match, and I’m sad. And while Thiem is one of the few players who can say he’s had success against Nadal on clay, you still shouldn’t be trying to bet against the Spaniard on his surface. He looks healthy, he’s in good form and has dominated up to this point. 

Nadal reaches another semifinal in this tournament.

Rafael Nadal

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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