Young vs. Nadal
|Date & Time||Wednesday July 5, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Nadal -1400 / Young +1000 -- Over/Under:
Rafael Nadal and Donald Young meet in the second round of the 2017 Wimbledon.
Rafael Nadal is coming off a straight sets win over John Millman that took 24 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 77 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Nadal picked up where he left off in the French Open, as he dropped just six games in the opening victory and produced 33 winners to 18 unforced errors. However, Nadal was broken twice, so there is room for improvement if he hopes to make his first deep Wimbledon run since the 2011 season. Nadal has lost before the third round of the Wimbledon in three of his last four appearances. Nadal has lost before the third round of a grand slam just twice since 2014. Nadal has won six of his last eight matches on grass court.
Donald Young is coming off a four sets win over Denis Istomin that took 38 games to decide. In the victory, Young won 81 percent of his first serve points and 55 percent of his second serve points. Young bounced back after losing the first set and looked like he was cruising to a win before Istomin retried late in the fourth set. Young was consistent with his serve and gave himself five break chances, but he can’t afford 30-plus unforced errors in this match if he hopes to advance. Young has three wins over top-10 players, but none have come since 2015. Young hopes to make the third round of a grand slam for the first time since the 2015 US Open. Young has won five of his last seven matches on grass court.
These two have met twice in the past, and Nadal won both meetings in straight sets. The two matches took place in the 2015 and 2008 Indian Wells Masters.
When Young is motivated and in good form, he can bring himself to win a match like this. The problem is he’s been inconsistent as of late and doesn’t have much recent grand slam success. Also, Nadal is in rare form and hasn’t come close to losing a set let alone a match in quite some time.
Nadal in straight sets here is the likely outcome.