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Rafael Nadal vs. Gilles Muller 2017 Wimbledon Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Muller vs. Nadal
Date & Time Monday July 10, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN, ESPN3
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USA TODAY Sports

Rafael Nadal and Gilles Muller meet in the fourth round of the 2017 Wimbledon.  

Rafael Nadal is coming off a straight sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 80 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Nadal still hasn’t lost a set since the Rome Masters, and he’s coming off a match in which he had 41 winners and 19 unforced errors. Nadal is playing ridiculous tennis on both sides, but he has been broken four times this tournament, so there is some hope for his opponents moving forward. Nadal hopes to make the quarterfinals of a grand slam for the seventh time since 2014. Nadal hasn’t made the Wimbledon quarterfinals since 2011. Nadal has won eight of his last 10 matches on grass court.

Gilles Muller is coming off a straight sets win over Aljaz Bedene that took 35 games to decide. In the victory, Muller won 82 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Muller has played a lot of tennis to get to this point, but he’s produced 72 aces in his first three matches and continues to serve at a high level overall when needed most. As long as Muller can keep getting free points and keeping the pressure on his opponent, he has a chance to make a rare deep grand slam run. Muller hopes to make his second career grand slam quarterfinal and first since the 2008 US Open. Muller has won 10 of his last 11 matches on grass court.

These two have played six times and Nadal has won five of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2016 Indian Wells Masters, a match Nadal won in three sets. Muller’s only win over Nadal came in the 2005 Wimbledon. 

Muller can make this a match if he can keep serving at a high level and racking up the free points with his aces. This could be the match where Nadal finally loses a set. As for losing the match, don’t count on it. Nadal is in rare form and Muller rarely puts together a brilliant showing on the grand slam stage. Muller’s returns have also been subpar at times this tournament. 

Nadal reaches the quarters in three or four sets.

Pick:
Rafael Nadal

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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