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Rafael Nadal vs. Kei Nishikori - 6/4/19 French Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kei Nishikori vs. Rafael Nadal
Date & Time Tuesday June 4, 2019, 9:30 AM (EDT)
Roland Garros
Paris, France
The Line
K. Nishikori +800 / R. Nadal -2000
TV Channel
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Rafael Nadal has made it into the semifinals of the 2019 ATP French Open. At this stage of the tournament, Rafa will play against Kei Nishikori from Japan.

Kei Nishikori has had to fight extremely hard all tournament as he has already played 17 sets. In the previous round, Kei Nishikori battled against Benoit Paire in a match which he won in 5 sets. During the win, Kei Nishikori received serve exceptionally well. Nishikori won 45% of his return points which allowed him to break Benoit Paire’s serve on 10 occasions. Prior to arriving in Paris, Kei Nishikori had been playing well as he had made the semifinals at the Barcelona Open and the quarterfinals at the Italian Open. Considering his recent schedule and his long matches at this tournament, Nishikori may have issues regarding fatigue.

On the other side of the coin, it has been smooth sailing for Rafael Nadal as he has only lost 1 set in the entire tournament. Nadal won his previous match with ease as he won in straight sets. During the victory, Nadal won 92% of his service games and 6 return games to win with some ease. Nadal has been playing some incredible tennis throughout this tournament. In his 4 matches, Nadal has only lost 4 service games while winning 24 return games. With such form heading into this match, Nadal will be very tough to beat.
Rafael Nadal and Kei Nishikori have played each other 12 times in the past. Nadal has won on 10 occasions while Nishikori has won twice. The most recent match between these two players was last season at the Monte Carlo Masters where Nadal won in straight sets. Nadal is unbeaten against Nishikori when playing on clay.

Kei Nishikori has had a good tournament but I see him losing this match. Nishikori has been spending huge amounts of time on the court and I see him being affected by fatigue as he enters this match. Nadal, on the other hand, has been winning his matches quickly and will be much fresher. Nadal is the stronger clay player and I see him being too good for a tiring Kei Nishikori.

Rafael Nadal

Based in multiple cities around the world, Avijoy is a sports writer and handicapper with over 10 years experience. Avijoy has been at Sports Chat Place since 2015 and has been covering tennis, cricket and soccer. With a degree in statistics, Avijoy provides detailed mathematical edges which allow him to be successful in predicting winners on a consistent basis.   

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