Troicki vs. Nadal
|Date & Time||Wednesday October 12, 2016, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Troicki +380 / Nadal -475 -- Over/Under:
Rafael Nadal and Viktor Troicki play Wednesday in the 2016 Shanghai Rolex Masters.
Rafael Nadal has played just three matches since the US Open and is coming off a quarterfinal appearance in Beijing. Nadal continues to try and find his form and has been battling some injuries in which he rushed back due to the olympics coming up. There’s no telling just how healthy Nadal is up to this point, but his overall play has improved recently and he’s still a top-five player in the world. In order to make that jump again and be a consistent threat to win titles, Nadal has to be more consistent with his serve and clean up the unforced errors. Nadal is coming off a match in which he won just 52 percent of his first serve points. Nadal has won six of his last nine matches on hard court.
Viktor Troicki is coming off a straight sets win over Lukas Rosol that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Troicki won 93 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Troicki enters this tournament in good form considering he’s made at least the quarterfinals in three of his last five events and has won six of his last 10 sets played. Troicki has to continue to dominate his service game to have a shot here, as he’s racked up 20 aces in his last two matches. Troicki has seven career wins over top-10 players with three of them coming in the 2015 season. Troicki has won eight of his last 12 matches on hard court.
These two have played five times in the past and Nadal has won all five meetings. The most recent match was in the 2015 Stuttgart Open, a match Nadal won in 22 games. This will be the fifth time Nadal and play on hard court.
Nadal is more than beatable until he proves he’s healthy and consistent for the first time probably since early last season. However, the head to head is quite glaring and gives Nadal the advantage. Not to mention there’s a huge rest factor favoring Nadal as well. Troicki’s service game will give Nadal some issues, but we should see the same result we’ve seen between these two over the years.
Nadal beats Troicki in straight sets.