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Roberto Bautista-Agut vs. Dominic Thiem 2018 St. Petersburg Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Game
Dominic Thiem vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut
Date & Time Saturday September 22, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Roberto Bautista-Agut and Dominic Thiem meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis St. Petersburg Open.

Roberto Bautista-Agut is coming off a straight sets win over Marco Cecchinato that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Bautista-Agut won 87 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. Bautista-Agut got 71 percent of his first serves in play, won 80 percent of his total service points and saved both of his break points. Bautista-Agut has won six of his seven sets this tournament and is getting no less than 70 percent of his first serves in play. This isn’t the same Bautista-Agut who entered this tournament on a three-match losing streak, as he’s hitting his spots and playing impressive, clean tennis overall. Bautista-Agut hopes to make his fourth final appearance of the year and his 16th final appearance of his career. Bautista-Agut has won six of his last nine matches on indoor hard court.

Dominic Thiem is coming off a three sets win over Daniil Medvedev that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 78 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 67 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 15 break points. Thiem really had to work for his quarterfinal victory, which included winning  second set tiebreak, but he had 10 aces and continues to serve at a very high percentage. As long as Thiem can stay in this form, he’s going to be a tough to beat given the balance of his play and how he plays every game hard. Thiem hopes to make his fifth final appearance of the year and his 18th final appearance of his career. Thiem has split his last six matches on indoor hard court. 

These two have played three times and Bautista-Agut has won all three matches. The most recent meeting came in Dubai of 2015, a match Bautista-Agut won in straight sets. Thiem has won one set against Bautista-Agut, which came in the 2015 Australian Open.

The head to head numbers clearly favor Bautista-Agut, but all three matches took place in 2015, and Thiem obviously isn’t the same player as he was three years ago. Thiem is a much more confident player, he’s serving better and has been more aggressive with his return. Bautista-Agut is obviously a worthy opponent, but he’s also been shaky before this tournament, which includes getting little to nothing on his return.

Thiem has been on fire recently and I’m not trying to step in front of him.

Pick:
Dominic Thiem

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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