Roberto Bautista-Agut vs. Novak Djokovic
|Date & Time||Tuesday March 26, 2019, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, Florida
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Roberto Bautista-Agut and Novak Djokovic meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Miami Open.
Roberto Bautista-Agut is coming off a straight sets win over Fabio Fognini that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Bautista-Agut won 69 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Bautista-Agut won 62 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his six break points. Bautista-Agut has won all four sets up to this point and has been much sharper with his serve than he was previously, entering this tournament with losses in four of his last six matches. Bautista-Agut has nine career wins over top-10 players and two of those have come this year. Bautista-Agut hopes to make a Masters 1000 quarterfinal for the fourth time in his career, and the first ever at the Miami Open. Bautista-Agut has split his last six matches on outdoor hard court.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a three sets win over Federico Delbonis that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 77 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 12 break points. Djokovic has found ways to advance, but he has been broken four times through five sets and has been shaky at best with his second serve. While still the favorite to win this tournament, opponents have to feel like they have a chance against Djokovic based on his play his last two matches. Djokovic hopes to make the quarterfinal of a Masters 1000 for the fifth time in his last seven appearances. Djokovic has won 13 of his last 15 matches on outdoor hard court.
These two have played nine times and Djokovic has won seven of those matches. The most recent meeting was Doha of this year, a match Bautista-Agut won in three sets. Bautista-Agut has actually beaten Djokovic in two of the last four meetings and the last two times on hard court. Five of the nine meetings have been decided in straight sets.
Bautista-Agut has shown he can beat Djokovic, so he has the confidence heading into this match, and Novak has had some issues through his first two matches. I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if you wanted to take a shot with Bautista-Agut. However, I’m still picking Djokovic to win this match based on the fact he still wins even when he’s not playing his absolute best. Bautista-Agut also entered this tournament in poor form and his serve has been wildly inconsistent.
Djokovic should find a way to reach the quarterfinals.