Zverev vs. Federer
|Date & Time||Sunday June 25, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Federer -230 / Zverev +195 -- Over/Under:
Roger Federer and Alexander Zverev meet in the final of the 2017 Gerry Weber Open.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 71 percent of his first serve points and 58 percent of his second serve points. Federer has yet to drop a set this tournament and showed he’s capable of winning a match easily despite winning just 39 percent of his return points. Federer is moving well on the court and looks like somebody who is well rested and confident, as he doesn't have to play his best to win a single match. Federer hopes to win his fourth title of the season and his 92nd title of his career. Federer is 15-6 in his career in final appearances on grass. Federer has won 12 of his last 19 final appearances overall. Federer has won nine of his last 11 matches on grass court.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a three sets win over Richard Gasquet that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 82 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Zverev has played six sets hi last two matches and has shown consistently this tournament he's capable of taking his game to another level when needed. Zverev’s serve has been on point and the defensive effort improves when he needs to win points in crucial spots. Zverev has a shot at his fifth win over a top-10 player this season, as the 20-year-old continues his breakout season. Zverev hopes to win his fourth title this season and his fifth title for his career. Zverev is 0-1 in final appearances on grass. Zverev has also won his last four final appearances overall. Zverev has won eight of his last 10 matches on grass court.
These two have split the only two meetings with Zverev winning the 2016 Halle Open and Federer winning the 2016 Rome Masters. One of the two matches were decided in three sets.
This is going to be a fun match between these two talented players, as Zverev is growing up before our eyes and Federer is, well, Federer. You could make a case for either side, but I’m giving the edge to Federer, as he's just too consistent and still pounces on any mistakes his opponent makes. While Zverev has improved by leaps and bounds, he still has the occasional drop in his game, and that's when veteran and elite players take advantage and find the opening to win the match.
I like Federer here.