Roger Federer vs. Filip Krajinovic
|Date & Time||Monday March 25, 2019, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, Florida
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Roger Federer and Filip Krajinovic meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Miami Open.
Roger Federer is coming off a three sets win over Radu Albot that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 77 percent of his first serve points and 69 percent of his second serve points. Federer won 74 percent of his total service points and saved three of his four break points. Federer wasn’t as sharp as you’d expect him to be and he struggled with his return, which is now back-to-back shaky performances. The good news is Federer continues to serve well and has had an extra day to kind of get back on track and being the complete player we’re used to seeing. Federer hopes to make the fourth round of a Masters 1000 for the 10th time in his last 11 appearances. Federer has won 10 of his last 11 matches on outdoor hard court.
Filip Krajinovic is coming off a three sets win over Stan Wawrinka that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Krajinovic won 72 percent of his first serve points and 55 percent of his second serve points. Krajinovic won 65 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his 10 break points. Krajinovic has now won five of his last six matches and all five of those victories came against top-50 players, so this isn’t a player you can overlook at the moment. This run has truly come out of nowhere, especially when you consider Krajinovic has limited big match experience. Krajinovic has a chance to make his fourth career fourth round appearance in a Masters 1000. Krajinovic has one career win over a top-10 player, which came against Novak Djokovic in 2010. Krajinovic has won five of his last six matches on outdoor hard court.
These two have played twice and Federer has won both matches. The most recent meeting was in Basel of last year, a match Federer won in three sets. The other match was last year in Indian Wells.
Krajinovic is no pushover based on what he’s done the past couple of weeks, but he’s also a player who is rarely on this stage and has just one win over a top-10 player to his name. The day off should help Federer regroup and iron out any wrinkles that have led to his last two shaky performances.
I’ll side with Federer in straight sets.