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Roger Federer vs. Gael Monfils 5/9/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Roger Federer vs. Gael Monfils
Date & Time Thursday May 9, 2019, 10:00 AM (EDT)
Location
Park Manzanares
Madrid, Spain
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Roger Federer and Gael Monfils meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.

Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Richard Gasquet that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 78 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Federer won 73 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his three break points. Federer looked great in his opening match considering he had over a month off and didn’t play a clay match in three years. Federer didn’t face a single break point and the match took less than an hour to complete. It’s a performance that should make many believe Federer has a chance to push for a title in this tournament. Federer hasn’t lost his second match of a tournament since last years Miami Open. Federer has won four of her last six matches on clay court.

Gael Monfils is coming off a three sets win over Marton Fucsovics that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Monfils won 55 percent of his first serve points and 71 percent of his second serve points. Monfils won 60 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his six break points. Monfils managed to comeback after dropping the first set in seven games and having issues with his first serve. It’s a match that Monfils probably loses a couple of years ago, but the more focused and disciplined Frenchman finds a way to dig deep and get the job done. Monfils hopes to win three matches for the fifth time in his last seven tournaments. Monfils has 33 career wins over top-10 players and three of those wins have come since last year. Monfils has won three of his last four matches on clay court.

These two hav played 13 times and Federer has won nine of those matches, including the most recent in the 2015 French Open. Monfils has won two of the last three meetings against Federer, but he’s just 1-5 against him on clay. Seven of the 13 matches have been decided in straight sets.

Monfils certainly has a chance to win this match if he’s going to be disciplined and pick his spots to spray those fancy winners, but it’s so tough to bet against a rested Federer, especially one who served as well as he did in his opener. Monfils has the raw ability to push Federer, but it takes one sloppy game or an unforced error here and there, and the scoreboard changes drastically. I love Monfils, but I have a hard time trusting him against guys who don’t beat themselves.

I like Federer to reach the quarterfinals.

Pick:
Roger Federer

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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