Federer vs. Del Potro
|Date & Time||Sunday March 18, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Roger Federer and Juan Martin Del Potro meet in the final of the 2018 Indian Wells Masters.
Roger Federer is coming off a three sets win over Borna Coric that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 68 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Federer lost his first set, which is extremely rare these days, but he still managed to win 75 percent of his service points and do just enough with the return to get the victory. Federer still found ways to win majority of the big points and was able to win a match even if he wasn’t playing his complete best. Federer looks to win his third title this year and the 98th title for his career. Federer has won nine of his last 10 titles overall and is 67-24 in final appearances on hard court for his career. Federer is also 5-2 in his career in Indian Wells final appearances. Federer has won 17 straight matches on hard court.
Juan Martin Del Potro is coming off a straight sets win over Milos Raonic that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Del Potro won 89 percent of his first serve points and 62 percent of his second serve points. Del Potro continues to put together his best start to the season in quite some time and is coming off a match in which he won 80 percent of his service points. Del Potro is playing some very clean tennis and has been very efficient with his serve this tournament. Del Potro looks to win the second title this year and the 22nd for his career. Del Potro has won 10 of his last 15 final appearances overall and is 17-10 in final appearances on hard court for his career. Del Potro has never won an Indian Wells title, losing his only other final appearance back in 2013. Del Potro has won 10 straight matches on hard court.
These two have played 24 times and Federer has won 18 of those meetings. The most recent match was in Basel of last year, a match Federer won in three sets. Federer has won five of the last six meetings against Del Potro, with the only loss in that span coming in last years US Open.
Del Potro is playing great tennis so far this season and just dominated a really good player in the semifinals. But I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, if you’re betting against Federer in his current form, you’re not very bright. Yes, he looked human for one set before returning to Federer, but the guy has been automatic for about two years now and simply doesn’t lose these days. Not to mention the head to head numbers between these two is overwhelming.
Federer wins his sixth career Indian Wells title.