Kyrgios vs. Federer
|Date & Time||Friday March 17, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Federer -170 / Kyrgios +150 -- Over/Under:
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Roger Federer and Nick Kyrgios meet Friday in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Indian Wells Masters.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Rafael Nadal that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 76 percent of his first serve points and 79 percent of his second serve points. Federer seems to be back in that form that he was during the Australian Open, as he sliced and diced Nadal, providing just one break point and winning 34 of 44 service points. If Federer is going to continue to serve at a high percentage, there’s not many who are going to have a chance in their match. Federer has won 11 of his last 12 quarterfinal appearances and has been bounced of the quarterfinals of the Indian Wells Masters just once in his career. Federer has won 11 of his last 12 matches on hard court.
Nick Kyrgios is coming off a straight sets win over Novak Djokovic that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Kyrgios won 86 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Kyrgios is off to a strong start in 2017, as he’s now beaten Djokovic twice this season and finds himself in back-to-back quarterfinals. Kyrgios has served very well this tournament and seems to be having less and less brain farts on the court. I’m not sure how long this will last, but tennis fans should enjoy the way Kyrgios is currently playing. Kyrgios now has 12 career wins over top-10 players and has won his last four quarterfinal appearances. Kyrgios has won seven of his last eight matches on hard court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2015 Madrid Masters, a match Kyrgios won in three sets. The match included three tiebreaks. This will obviously be their first time meeting on hard court.
This is a great quarterfinal with a legend in Federer who is still play high quality tennis against a future star in Kyrgios, if he can just keep his head on straight. You could make a strong case for either one of these players, especially with the plus money and Kyrgios. The problem I have is the same as others; I can’t trust him for a full match. We know what we’re getting from Federer, and with the upsets, the draw opens up and makes him the favorite to take the trophy.
I don’t bet against Federer often, and I’m not doing it here.