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Roger Federer vs Rafael Nadal - 3/16/19 ATP Tour - Indian Wells Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Roger Federer will play Rafael Nadal in the semifinals of the 2019 ATP Indian Wells Open in California. Nadal and Federer are two of the greatest tennis players of all-time meaning that this should be a classic tennis match.

Roger Federer enters this match having beaten Hubert Hurkacz in the previous round. It was a comfortable win for Federer as he won in straight sets. During the win, Federer served exceptionally well as he won 73% of his service points which resulted in the Swiss Master winning all of his service games. Federer also had a good day returning as he won 2 break points. Roger Federer has been in exceptional form recently as he won the ATP Dubai Tennis Championship a few weeks back and since at Indian Wells, the Swiss superstar has not lost a single set.

On the other side of the coin, Rafael Nadal beat Karen Khachanov in straight sets. It was a close match but Nadal won 2 tiebreakers to get the win. Heading into this clash, Rafael Nadal is said to be worried about his knee which seems to be preventing the Spaniard from performing at 100%. That being said, Nadal has looked very solid all tournament and like Federer, he has also won every set he has played this season at Indian Wells.

Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal share a long history as they have played each other 38 times. As it currently stands, Nadal has the stronger head-to-head record of 23-15. The most recent match between these two players was in 2017 at the Shanghai Masters where Federer won in straight sets. Roger Federer has won the last 5 matches in this rivalry. The last time that Nadal beat Federer was in 2014 at the Australian Open.

This is expected to be a very close match between two exceptional tennis players. As far as picking a winner is concerned, I am going to back Roger Federer to win. Federer has been in outstanding form over the past month considering he recently won an ATP title. Nadal, on the other hand, has not been at his best considering he had a poor Mexican Open campaign and is struggling with a knee injury. Federer is playing better tennis at the moment and I see him winning this match.

Pick:
Roger Federer

Based in multiple cities around the world, Avijoy is a sports writer and handicapper with over 10 years experience. Avijoy has been at Sports Chat Place since 2015 and has been covering tennis, cricket and soccer. With a degree in statistics, Avijoy provides detailed mathematical edges which allow him to be successful in predicting winners on a consistent basis.   

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