Wawrinka vs. Federer
|Date & Time||Thursday January 26, 2017, 9:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Wawrinka +120 / Federer -140 -- Over/Under:
Roger Federer and Stan Wawrinka meet in the semifinals of the 2017 Australian Open.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Mischa Zverev that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 69 percent of his first serve points and 68 percent of his second serve points. Federer had a much needed quick match in which he had just 13 unforced errors and faced two break points. Besides his fourth round match against Kei Nishikori, Federer really hasn’t had to work hard in this tournament, which should mean there’s a lot left in the tank for the 35-year-old to cross the finish line. As long as Federer continues to serve the way he has up to this point, he has to like his chances. Federer looks to make his fourth grand slam final since the 2014 season. Federer has won 10 of his last 11 matches on hard court.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Jo-Wilfried Tsonga that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 71 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka has won his last nine sets played and he’s been strong in the biggest moments, which includes winning all five tiebreaks. Wawrinka has won no less than 71 percent of his first serve points and has been broken just eight times in his last four matches. Wawrinka seems dialed in right now and should be rather confident, especially if he can have another match of less than 30 unforced errors. Wawrinka looks to reach his fourth career grand slam final. Wawrinka has won seven of his last eight matches on hard court.
These two have played 21 times and Federer has won 18 of those meetings. The most recent meeting was in the 2015 ATP World Tour Finals, a match Federer won in straight sets. Federer has won five of the last six matches against Wawrinka and his last loss came in the 2015 French Open.
Federer was my pick to win the Australian Open before the tournament started and he’s done nothing to make me jump off that train. Federer is serving well and is his usual sharp self on the return. Wawrinka won’t be an easy out given his shotmaking and serving power, but the head to head is glaring and will play a part if Roger gets off to a fast start. This could be the match where we see the sloppy Wawrinka who presses a little too much.
Give me Federer to advance to the final.