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Roger Federer vs. Stan Wawrinka 6/4/19 French Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Roger Federer vs. Stan Wawrinka
Date & Time Tuesday June 4, 2019, 8:00 AM (EDT)
Location
Roland Garros Stadium
Paris, France
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis, NBC
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Roger Federer and Stan Wawrinka meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis French Open.

Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Leonardo Mayer that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 83 percent of his first serve points and 70 percent of his second serve points. Federer won 79 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 10 break points. Federer got 67 percent of his first serves in play and didn’t face a single break point in a win that took less than two hours to complete. With Federer giving away little on his serve, he’s gone from someone with little recent clay court playing time to somebody who could push for his fourth grand slam title since 2017. Federer has won all 12 sets this tournament and has been broken just twice. Federer hopes to make the semifinals of a grand slam for the eighth time in his last 12 tries. Federer also hopes to make the semifinals of the French Open for the eighth time in his career. Federer has won 10 of his last 13 grand slam quarterfinal matches. Federer has won eight of his last 10 matches on clay court.

Stan Wawrinka is coming off a five sets win over Stefanos Tsitsipas that took 58 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 71 percent of his first serve points and 51 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 64 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 14 break points. Wawrinka got 62 percent of his first serves in play and saved 22 of his 27 break points. Wawrinka had 55 unforced errors in the victory, but he buckled down in key points and simply willed himself to victory in a lengthy fifth set. The only question now is how much Wawrinka has left in the tank after playing more than five hours. Wawrinka hopes to make his 10th career grand slam semifinal and the fourth at the French Open. Wawrinka is 9-6 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches, and he hasn’t lost a grand slam quarterfinal match since the 2015 Wimbledon. Wawrinka has won seven of his last 10 matches on clay court.

These two have played 28 times and Federer has won 25 of those matches, including the most recent match in Indian Wells this year. Wawrinka’s last win over Federer came in the 2015 French Open. Federer is 5-3 against Wawrinka on clay. Twenty of these matches were decided in straight sets.

Wawrinka’s only success against Federer has come on clay, so you can make a case for him in this match. However, Wawrinka just played more than five hours and this is somebody who was slowly working his way back from injury. He’s clearly feeling better and playing at a top tier level, but it’s not easy to rebound from a marathon match, especially when your opponent has barely broken a sweat through 12 sets. At this point in the tournament, it can sometimes come down to who is the fresher player. Conditioning is key in grand slam play. Wawrinka snagged an impressive victory that will probably go down as the match of the tournament, but the wear and tear will play a role in this match.

Federer moves to the semifinals.

Pick:
Roger Federer

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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