Berdych vs. Federer
|Date & Time||Thursday March 30, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Roger Federer and Tomas Berdych meet Thursday in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Miami Open.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Roberto Bautista Agut that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 89 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Federer is coming off his toughest match yet, but he still has won his last 16 sets played overall. Federer just finds a way to come out on top and it has a lot to do with his improved serve. Federer has dropped just 10 combined first serve points in his last two matches, which is going to result in a lot of winning games. Federer has won his last five quarterfinal appearances. Federer has won nine straight matches on hard court.
Tomas Berdych is coming off a straight sets win over Adrian Mannarino that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Berdych won 74 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Berdych is starting to show signs of consistency again, as he hasn’t dropped a set this tournament and has produced 19 aces in his first three matches. Berdych looks for his third semifinals appearance this season. Berdych has two wins over top-10 players since 2016 with his most recent coming in Madrid against David Ferrer. Berdych has won four of his last five quarterfinal appearances. Berdych has won five of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played 23 times in the past and Federer has won 17 of those matches. The most recent match was in this years Australian Open, a match Federer won in straight sets. Federer has won the last six matches against Berdych, and his last loss came in the 2013 Dubai Tennis Championships. Federer has won the last 15 sets against Berdych.
The head to head between these two is quite glaring, especially when you consider Federer won has 15 straight sets against Berdych. Not to mention Federer has been far more consistent as of late and is in much better form.
This is a match Federer should win in straight sets, again.