Ostapenko vs. Stosur
|Date & Time||Sunday June 4, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Samantha Stosur and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the fourth round of the 2017 French Open.
Samantha Stosur is coming off a straight sets win over Bethanie Mattek-Sands that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Stosur won 53 percent of her first serve points and 56 percent of her second serve points. Stosur has not dropped a set this tournament and is coming off a match in which she won 64 percent of her return points and broke seven times. Stosur has now won 16 of her last 17 sets played and hasn't lost a match overall since the Rome Masters. Stosur has broken 15 times this tournament overall and is no longer the shock of the French Open after what she did last year. Stosur looks for her eighth career grand slam quarterfinal. Stosur has a shot at her fifth French Open quarterfinal. Stosur has won her last eight matches on clay court.
Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a straight sets win over Lesia Tsurenko that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 65 percent of her first serve points and 42 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko has beaten back-to-back top-50 players and is experiencing her grand slam breakthrough at 19 years old. Ostapenko has dropped just 10 games in her last to matches and has combined for 56 winners during the process. Ostapenko has won her last six sets overall and is going to be a handful if she continues to be aggressive and having high success on the return. Ostapenko hopes to make her first career grand slam quarterfinal. Ostapenko has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.
These two have played once in the past, which was in the 2016 Olympics, a match Stosur won in three sets. The match took 24 games to decide.
Ostapenko will be 20 years old in a couple of days and would love nothing more than to celebrate with her first grand slam quarterfinal trip. She certainly has the ability to get it done with the way she's returning and hitting her spots. But betting against Stosur doesn't seem like a good idea given the way shes playing now and her history at the French Open. Stosur is one of the more solid players in the field right now and of course she's experienced, so we don't have to worry about nerves with her. The deeper you get in the tournament with a first timer, the more likelihood of nerves taking over a match.
I’ll side with Stosur in a match that could go three sets.