Serena Williams vs. Bianca Andreescu
|Date & Time||Sunday August 11, 2019, 1:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Serena -181 / Andreescu +164 -- Over/Under:
Bianca Andreescu and Serena Williams meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Rogers Open.
Bianca Andreescu is coming off a straight sets win over Sofia Kenin that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Andreescu won 75 percent of her first serve points and 45 percent of her second serve points. Andreescu won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her nine break points. Andreescu got 62 percent of her first serves in play and saved five of her seven break points. Andreescu showed little signs of a leg injury from her previous match and won her first match of the tournament in straight sets. Andreescu looks to win her second title of the year and the second of her career. Andreescu is 1-1 in career final appearances. Andreescu has six career wins over top-10 players, all of which came this year. Andreescu has won 10 of her last 11 matches on hard court.
Serena Williams is coming off a three sets win over Marie Bouzkova that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Serena won 81 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Serena won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her six break points. Serena got 55 percent of her first serves in play, saved three of her eight break points and hit 11 aces. Serena has double-digit aces in each of her last two matches. Serena looks to win her first title since the 2017 Australian Open and the 73rd title of her career. Serena has lost six of her last nine final appearances, including each of her last three. Serena is 46-15 in career final appearances on hard court. Serena has won six of her last eight matches on hard court.
There’s no match history between these two players.
Serena scares me in big matches these days, as she’s looked great in past tournaments and then completely falls apart once she reaches the final. We saw it a few weeks ago in Wimbledon, and she’s lost six of her last nine final appearances overall. Andreescu is a feisty player who is hitting her spots and she plays to the crowd, and she’s capable of winning any match in this current form. Still, Serena will win this match as long as she continues to take care of her first serve and piles up the aces.
I’ll take Serena to win her first title in more than two years, but I don’t love it.