Serena Williams vs. Julia Goerges
|Date & Time||Saturday July 6, 2019, 8:00 AM (EDT)|
All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club
London, United Kingdom
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Serena Williams and Julia Goerges meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Wimbledon.
Serena Williams is coming off a three sets win over Kaja Juvan that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Serena won 77 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Serena won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her 10 break points. Serena got 54 percent of her first serves in play and was broken three times while producing 26 unforced errors. Losing the first set in less than a half hour and in eight games, it certainly wasn’t the prettiest performance from Serena. However, a win is a win at this point and you’d think Serena would only get better with more reps under her belt. Serena hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the 22nd time in her last 25 tries. Serena has won eight of her last nine matches on grass court.
Julia Goerges is coming off a straight sets win over Varvara Flink that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Goerges won 87 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Goerges won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her nine break points. Goerges got 49 percent of her first serves in play, saved eight of her nine break points and hit 10 aces. Goerges can certainly improve her first serve percentage while cleaning up some unforced errors, but she’s won 10 of her last 12 sets and is quietly one of the hotter players on tour right now. Goerges hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fifth time since 2015. Goerges has won six of her last seven matches on grass court.
Serena has won all four meetings against Goerges in straight sets, including the most recent match in last years Wimbledon. Three of the four meetings took place in grand slams.
This isn’t the same Serena that Goerges faced years ago, and she’s more than capable of pulling off the upset given her recent form and the way Williams struggled in her last effort. With that said, I’m still backing Serena to win this match, as I just don’t have a ton of confidence in Goerges on the big stage. I also think Serena will only improve as she plays more, as it’s easy to forget she’s now played just six matches since Miami. Serena can play her way into shape.
I’ll back Serena in this match.