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Serena Williams vs. Roberta Vinci 2015 Semifinal US Open Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Roberta Vinci vs. Serena Williams
Date & Time Thursday September 10, 2015, 10:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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Tennis | Roberta Vinci vs. Serena Williams
USA TODAY Sports

Serena Williams and Roberta Vinci meet in the semifinal of the 2015 US Open.

Serena Williams is coming off a three set win over Venus Williams and has played 12 sets this tournament. Serena is winning at least 77 percent of her first serve points and 36 percent of her second serve points. Serena has combined for 25 aces, 106 winners and 56 unforced errors in her last three matches. Serena is coming off an emotional victory over her sister that has to feel like a weight has just been taken off her chest. Serena continues to win a high percentage of her first serve points and has just a combined 28 unforced errors in her last two matches. Serena is starting to find that next gear as she gets closer to a title. Serena has not been eliminated in the semifinal of a grand slam since the 2009 US Open. A win here clinches five straight grand slam final appearances for Serena.

Roberta Vinci is coming off a three set win over Kristina Mladenovic and has played 11 sets this tournament. Vinci is winning at least 63 percent of her first serve points and 36 percent of her second serve points. Vinci has combined for 10 aces, 64 winners and 72 unforced errors in her last three matches. Vinci has had no less than 21 unforced errors in a single match, a number that must improve if there’s going to be an upset. However, Vinci is well rested after playing just one match since Saturday and does have seven victories over top 10 players since 2013. Vinci is capable of being a challenge when she’s on her game. This is Vinci’s first grand slam semifinal appearance of her career at 32 years old.

These two have played four times in the past, and Serena has won all four meetings in straight sets. The most recent match was in this year's Canadian Masters, a match Vinci won seven games. The other three matches between Serena and Vinci took place in 2013 or earlier. This will be the third time Serena and Vinci meet on hard court.

Vinci is a different challenge for Serena than her past opponents, but she simply doesn’t have enough to beat her on this stage. Vinci has had no success against Serena in the past and that’s not going to change when she has a chance to make history.

Serena makes yet another grand slam final.

Pick:
Serena Williams

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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