Venus vs. Serena
|Date & Time||Saturday January 28, 2017, 9:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Serena -554 / Venus +454 -- Over/Under:
Serena Williams and Venus Williams meet in the final of the 2017 Australian Open.
Serena Williams is coming off a straight sets win over Mirjana Lucic-Baroni that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Serena won 92 percent of her first serve points and 33 percent of her second serve points. Serena has yet to drop a set this tournament and has lost just eight games in her last two matches. Serena is playing with extreme confidence and finishing her points quickly. Serena dropped just two points on her first serve in her last match, and when she’s that effective, nobody on tour can compete with her even at her age. So far, Serena looks close to being at her peak given her inconsistent play the last couple of years. Serena looks for her seventh Australian Open title and her 23 grand slam title overall. Serena has won seven of her last eight matches on hard court.
Venus Williams is coming off a three set win over Coco Vandeweghe that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Venus won 77 percent of her first serve points and 43 percent of her second serve points. Venus was shaky in the beginning of the match and dropped a first set tiebreak, but she turned her game up a notch and simply overpowered a heavy hitter. Venus is playing some of her best tennis in years at the age of 36 and will enter this match with the belief that she can win the title. If Venus can keep her unforced errors total under 30, she’ll give herself an honest shot to take home the trophy. Venus looks for her first Australian Open title, first grand slam title since the 2008 Wimbledon and her eighth title overall. Venus has won eight of her last 10 matches on hard court.
These two have played 27 times in the past and Serena has won 16 of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2015 US Open, a match Serena won in three sets. Serena has won six of the last eight matches against Venus and her last loss to her sister came in the 2014 Canadian Masters. Venus has beaten Serena eight times on hard court.
There’s going to be value on Venus in this match considering how poised and confident she looks out there. Even at her age, Venus looks energized and is really hitting the ball well. However, Serena has been the more consistent player this tournament and is providing far less chances for her opponent to hang around. The only question with Serena is the fact she is playing her sister and the emotions tend to takeover and lead to matches being closer than they probably should be. In the end, Serena is in better form, the better player overall and is playing for way too much, which includes recapturing her No. 1 spot in the world.
I’ll take Serena to win the Australian Open.